Workshop
Machine Learning for Earth System Modeling: Accelerating Pathways to Impact
Jerry Lin · Laura Mansfield · Ritwik Gupta · Tian Zheng · Margarita Geleta · Yongquan Qu · Maja Rudolph · Michael Pritchard
Stolz 1
Fri 26 Jul, midnight PDT
Climate change is a major concern for human civilization, yet significant uncertainty remains in future warming, change in precipitation patterns, and frequency of climate extremes. Proper adaptation and mitigation demands accurate climate projections capable of simulating the atmosphere, ocean, land, and their interactions. Numerical models exhaustively tuned by domain scientists have been the gold standard for modeling both weather and climate because of their interpretability and ability to simulate “what-if” scenarios not present in the historical record. Although AI forecasts have started to make operational progress in weather prediction, climate projections are a harder problem. For example, High Impact-Low Likelihood events are undersampled in ERA5 reanalysis data, and substantial decadal variability in modes of climate variability (like the El-Niño Southern Oscillation) limit the ability of AI forecasts to reliably extrapolate into the future. This workshop seeks to accelerate progress on using machine learning to improve climate projections, emphasizing areas that domain scientists have deemed amenable to machine learning approaches. Examples include hybrid physics-ML climate models, where machine learning is used to emulate subgrid processes too expensive to resolve explicitly, and dynamical downscaling, where high-resolution climate variables are inferred from coarse-resolution models in a physically consistent manner. In service of this, our workshop will be accompanied by a $50,000 Kaggle competition on the ClimSim dataset (https://leap-stc.github.io/ClimSim/), which won the Outstanding Datasets and Benchmarks Paper award at NeurIPS 2023. We welcome submissions on machine learning topics that can advance earth system model development. Some examples include deep generative models, explainable AI, physics-informed neural networks, and uncertainty quantification. While machine learning is not new to the climate science community, dedicated opportunities for the cross-fertilization of ideas are rare, and machine learning experts motivated to make an impact may not be aware of domain science research directions most in need of their expertise. This workshop directly addresses both of these challenges.
Schedule
Fri 12:00 a.m. - 12:10 a.m.
|
Opening Remarks
(
Opening Remarks
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Julius Busecke 🔗 |
Fri 12:10 a.m. - 12:35 a.m.
|
Kara Lamb
(
Invited Talk
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Kara Lamb 🔗 |
Fri 12:35 a.m. - 1:00 a.m.
|
Julia Kaltenborn
(
Invited Talk
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Julia Kaltenborn 🔗 |
Fri 1:00 a.m. - 1:25 a.m.
|
David Rolnick
(
Invited Talk
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
David Rolnick 🔗 |
Fri 1:25 a.m. - 2:10 a.m.
|
Spotlight Talks 1
(
Spotlight Talks
)
>
|
🔗 |
Fri 1:25 a.m. - 1:40 a.m.
|
Probabilistic Emulation of a Global Climate Model with Spherical DYffusion
(
Spotlight
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Salva Ruhling Cachay · Brian Henn · Oliver Watt-Meyer · Christopher Bretherton · Rose Yu 🔗 |
Fri 1:40 a.m. - 1:55 a.m.
|
Machine Learning Global Simulation of Nonlocal Gravity Wave Propagation
(
Spotlight
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Aman Gupta · Aditi Sheshadri · Sujit Roy · Vishal Gaur · Manil Maskey · Rahul Ramachandran 🔗 |
Fri 1:55 a.m. - 2:10 a.m.
|
Graph Neural Networks and Spatial Information Learning for Post-Processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts
(
Spotlight
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Moritz Feik · Sebastian Lerch · Jan Stuehmer 🔗 |
Fri 2:10 a.m. - 3:00 a.m.
|
Poster Session 1
(
Poster Session
)
>
|
🔗 |
Fri 3:00 a.m. - 4:00 a.m.
|
Lunch
(
Lunch
)
>
|
🔗 |
Fri 4:00 a.m. - 4:45 a.m.
|
Spotlight Talks 2
(
Spotlight Talks
)
>
|
🔗 |
Fri 4:00 a.m. - 4:15 a.m.
|
Learning Optimal Filters Using Variational Inference
(
Spotlight
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Enoch Luk · Eviatar Bach · Ricardo Baptista · Andrew Stuart 🔗 |
Fri 4:15 a.m. - 4:30 a.m.
|
Transfer Learning for Emulating Ocean Climate Variability across CO2 forcing
(
Spotlight
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Adam Subel · Surya Dheeshjith · Shubham Gupta · Laure Zanna · Carlos Fernandez-Granda · Alistair Adcroft · Julius Busecke 🔗 |
Fri 4:30 a.m. - 4:45 a.m.
|
Graph Neural Networks for Emulation of Finite-Element Ice Dynamics in Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets
(
Spotlight
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Maryam Rahnemoonfar · Younghyun Koo 🔗 |
Fri 4:45 a.m. - 5:10 a.m.
|
Aditi Krishnapriyan
(
Invited Talk
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Aditi Krishnapriyan 🔗 |
Fri 5:10 a.m. - 5:35 a.m.
|
Nils Theurey
(
Invited Talk
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
Nils Thuerey 🔗 |
Fri 5:35 a.m. - 6:00 a.m.
|
Stephan Mandt
(
Invited Talk
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
🔗 |
Fri 6:00 a.m. - 6:50 a.m.
|
Poster Session 2
(
Poster Session
)
>
|
🔗 |
Fri 6:50 a.m. - 7:00 a.m.
|
Coffee Break
(
Coffee Break
)
>
|
🔗 |
Fri 7:00 a.m. - 8:00 a.m.
|
Panel Discussion
(
Panel Discussion
)
>
SlidesLive Video |
🔗 |
-
|
Graph Neural Networks and Spatial Information Learning for Post-Processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts
(
Poster
)
>
|
Moritz Feik · Sebastian Lerch · Jan Stuehmer 🔗 |
-
|
Dynamic Basis Function Interpolation for Adaptive In Situ Data Integration in Ocean Modeling
(
Poster
)
>
|
Derek DeSantis · Earl Lawrence · Ayan Biswas · Phillip Wolfram 🔗 |
-
|
Learning Optimal Filters Using Variational Inference
(
Poster
)
>
|
Enoch Luk · Eviatar Bach · Ricardo Baptista · Andrew Stuart 🔗 |
-
|
ArchesWeather: An efficient AI weather forecasting model at 1.5º resolution
(
Poster
)
>
|
Guillaume Couairon · Christian Lessig · Anastase Charantonis · Claire Monteleoni 🔗 |
-
|
A Generative Machine Learning Approach for Improving Precipitation from Earth System Models
(
Poster
)
>
|
Philipp Hess · Niklas Boers 🔗 |
-
|
Using Neural Networks for Data Cleaning in Weather Datasets
(
Poster
)
>
|
Jack Hanslope · Laurence Aitchison 🔗 |
-
|
A Likelihood-Based Generative Approach for Precipitation Downscaling
(
Poster
)
>
|
Jose González-Abad 🔗 |
-
|
SRViT: Vision Transformers for Estimating Radar Reflectivity from Satellite Observations at Scale ( Poster ) > link | Jason Stock · Kyle Hilburn · Imme Ebert-Uphoff · Chuck Anderson 🔗 |
-
|
Valid Error Bars for Neural Weather Models using Conformal Prediction
(
Poster
)
>
|
Vignesh Gopakumar · Ander Gray · Joel Oskarsson · Lorenzo Zanisi · Daniel Giles · Matt Kusner · Marc Deisenroth · Stanislas Pamela 🔗 |
-
|
Towards diffusion models for large-scale sea-ice modelling
(
Poster
)
>
|
Tobias Finn · Charlotte Durand · Alban Farchi · Marc Bocquet · Julien Brajard 🔗 |
-
|
Latent Diffusion Model for Generating Ensembles of Climate Simulations
(
Poster
)
>
|
Johannes Meuer · Maximilian Witte · Tobias Finn · Claudia Timmreck · Christopher Kadow 🔗 |
-
|
Machine Learning Global Simulation of Nonlocal Gravity Wave Propagation
(
Poster
)
>
|
Aman Gupta · Aditi Sheshadri · Sujit Roy · Vishal Gaur · Manil Maskey · Rahul Ramachandran 🔗 |
-
|
LUCIE: A Lightweight Uncoupled ClImate Emulator with long-term stability and physical consistency for O(1000)-member ensembles
(
Poster
)
>
|
Haiwen Guan · Troy Arcomano · Ashesh Chattopadhyay · Romit Maulik 🔗 |
-
|
Probabilistic Emulation of a Global Climate Model with Spherical DYffusion
(
Poster
)
>
|
Salva Ruhling Cachay · Brian Henn · Oliver Watt-Meyer · Christopher Bretherton · Rose Yu 🔗 |
-
|
Graph Neural Networks for Emulation of Finite-Element Ice Dynamics in Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets
(
Poster
)
>
|
Younghyun Koo · Maryam Rahnemoonfar 🔗 |
-
|
A Physics-Informed Machine Learning Approach utilizing Multiband Satellite Data for Solar Irradiance Estimation
(
Poster
)
>
|
Jun Sasaki · Maki Okada · Kenji Utsunomiya · Koji Yamaguchi 🔗 |
-
|
Learning Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Polar Ice Layers With Physics-Informed Graph Neural Network
(
Poster
)
>
|
Zesheng Liu · Maryam Rahnemoonfar 🔗 |
-
|
VarteX: Enhancing Weather Forecast through Distributed Variable Representation
(
Poster
)
>
|
Ayumu Ueyama · Kazuhiko Kawamoto · Hiroshi Kera 🔗 |
-
|
Transfer Learning for Emulating Ocean Climate Variability across CO2 forcing
(
Poster
)
>
|
Adam Subel · Surya Dheeshjith · Shubham Gupta · Laure Zanna · Carlos Fernandez-Granda · Alistair Adcroft · Julius Busecke 🔗 |
-
|
Evaluating the potential of pretrained deep learning models for climate downscaling
(
Poster
)
>
|
Ayush Prasad · Paula Harder · David Rolnick 🔗 |