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Poster
in
Workshop: The Second Workshop on Spurious Correlations, Invariance and Stability

Implications of Gaussian process kernel mismatch for out-of-distribution data

Beau Coker · Finale Doshi-Velez


Abstract: Gaussian processes provide reliable uncertainty estimates in nonlinear modeling, but a poor choice of the kernel can lead to slow learning. Although learning the hyperparameters of the kernel typically leads to optimal generalization on in-distribution test data, we show that the generalization can be poor on out-of-distribution test data. We then investigate three solutions --- learning the smoothness using a discrete cosine transform, assuming fatter tails in function-space using a Student-$t$ process, and learning a more flexible kernel using deep kernel learning --- finding some evidence in favor of the first two.

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