Hybrid sequence models—combining Transformer and state-space model layers—seek to gain the expressive versatility of attention as well as the computational efficiency of state-space model layers. Despite burgeoning interest in hybrid models, we lack a basic understanding of the settings where—and underlying mechanisms through which—they offer benefits over their constituent models. In this paper, we study this question, focusing on a broad family of core synthetic tasks. For this family of tasks, we prove the existence of fundamental limitations for non-hybrid models. Specifically, any Transformer or state-space model that solves the underlying task requires either a large number of parameters or a large working memory. On the other hand, for two prototypical tasks within this family—namely selective copying and associative recall—we construct hybrid models of small size and working memory that provably solve these tasks, thus achieving the best of both worlds. Our experimental evaluation empirically validates our theoretical findings. Importantly, going beyond the settings in our theoretical analysis, we empirically show that learned—rather than constructed—hybrids outperform non-hybrid models with up to $6 \times$ as many parameters. We additionally demonstrate that hybrid models exhibit stronger length generalization and out-of-distribution robustness than non-hybrids.

We propose a new method for estimating how much a model knows about a datapoint and use it to measure the capacity of modern language models. Prior studies of language model memorization have struggled to disentangle memorization from generalization. We formally separate memorization into two components: unintended memorization, the information a model contains about a specific dataset, and generalization, the information a model contains about the true data-generation process. When we completely eliminate generalization, we can compute the total memorization, which provides an estimate of model capacity: our measurements estimate that GPT-style models have a capacity of approximately 3.6 bits per parameter. We train language models on datasets of increasing size and observe that models memorize until their capacity fills, at which point unintended memorization decreases as models begin to generalize. We train hundreds of transformer language models ranging from 500K to 1.5B parameters and produce a series of scaling laws relating model capacity and data size to membership inference.

Machine learning model performance arises from competition and application. For deployment, we consider the prescriptive scaling laws: given a pre-training compute budget, what downstream accuracy is attainable with contemporary post-training practice, and how stable is that mapping as the field evolves? Using large-scale observational evaluations with 5k observational and 2k newly sampled data on model performance, we estimate capability boundaries—high conditional quantiles of benchmark scores as a function of log pre-training FLOPs, via smoothed quantile regression with a monotone, saturating sigmoid parameterization. We validate the temporal reliability by fitting on earlier model generations and evaluating on later releases. Across various tasks, the estimated boundaries are mostly stable, with the exception of math reasoning that exhibits a consistently advancing boundary over time. We then extend our approach to analyze task-dependent saturation and to probe contamination-related shifts on math reasoning tasks. Finally, we introduce an efficient algorithm that recovers near-full-data frontiers using roughly 20% of evaluation budget. Together, our work releases the Proteus-2k, the latest model performance evaluation dataset, and introduces a practical methodology for translating compute budgets into reliable performance expectations and for monitoring when capability boundaries move.

Pretraining language models directly on web-scale corpora is the de facto paradigm. We study an alternative where the model is initially exposed to abstract structured data to ease the subsequent acquisition of rich semantic knowledge, much like humans learning simple logic and mathematics before higher reasoning. We focus on procedural data, generated by formal languages and other simple algorithms, as such abstract data. We first diagnose the algorithmic skills that different forms of procedural data can improve, often significantly. For example, the accuracy of context recall (Needle-in-a-haystack) jumps from 10 to 98% when a model is pretrained on Dyck sequences (balanced brackets). Second, we study how these gains are reflected in pretraining larger models (up to 1.3B). We find that front-loading as little as 0.1–0.3% procedural data significantly outperforms standard pretraining on natural language, code, and informal mathematics (C4, CodeParrot, and DeepMind-Math datasets). Notably, this also enables the models to reach the same loss value with only 55/67/86% of the original data and thus a comparable reduction in FLOPs. Third, we explore the mechanisms behind the benefits and find that procedural pretraining instills non-trivial structure in both attention and MLP layers. The former is particularly important for structured domains (e.g. code), and the latter for language. Finally, we lay a path for combining multiple forms of procedural data. Our results show that procedural pretraining is a simple, lightweight means of improving performance and accelerating language model pretraining, ultimately suggesting the promise of disentangling knowledge acquisition from reasoning in LLMs.