Beyond Accuracy and Complexity: The Effective Information Criterion for Structurally Stable Symbolic Regression
Abstract
Lay Summary
Symbolic regression is a type of white-box machine learning: instead of only making predictions, it searches for mathematical formulas that fit observed data. These formulas can help scientists understand the hidden relationships behind their observations. Although symbolic regression can produce concise formulas that fit data well, we find that many of them have ill-conditioned structures, in which tiny numerical errors that arise during calculation, such as rounding errors, can be greatly magnified. Real physical equations, by contrast, usually remain stable under such rounding errors. This difference suggests that many machine-discovered formulas, while compact and accurate, may still be poor explanations of how variables truly relate to one another. We introduce the Effective Information Criterion (EIC), a measure that directly evaluates how structurally stable a formula is. EIC reveals a clear structural-stability gap between formulas found by current symbolic regression algorithms and real physical equations. Adding EIC to existing symbolic regression methods helps these methods find more reliable formulas, train more efficiently, and better match human experts’ intuition about interpretability. This work provides a practical tool for making equations discovered by symbolic regression more trustworthy for scientific discovery.