Future-Gain Guided Test-Time Learning for Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) inevitably encounter distribution shifts during real-world deployment, leading to performance degradation. Although test-time learning (TTL) adapts LLMs from unlabeled test streams, applying entropy minimization to autoregressive generation faces two challenges: (i) early decoding errors can steer later tokens off track, and updating on them can push the model further off course, and (ii) updates on unreliable tokens can amplify confident error predictions and trigger model collapse. To address these challenges, we propose Future-Gain Guided Test-Time Learning (FG-TTL) for LLMs, which learns selectively from the model's own generations. Our key idea is to update only on tokens that reduce uncertainty in subsequent generation rather than tokens that are merely uncertain at the current step. Specifically, we develop a Future-Gain Guided Token Selection (FTS) strategy to decide where to learn. We introduce Future-Gain as a token-level metric for this purpose and update the model only on high-gain tokens, concentrating learning on informative positions and mitigating temporal error propagation. In addition, we design a Risk-Aware Adaptation (RAA) mechanism that controls how strongly to update by combining gain-based weighting with adaptive temperature scaling based on intrinsic uncertainty, suppressing unreliable gradients while enabling stronger learning on high-gain tokens. Experiments on six benchmarks with three LLM backbones show that FG-TTL achieves the best average performance.