Tighter Regret Lower Bound for Gaussian Process Bandits with Squared Exponential Kernel in Hypersphere
Abstract
Lay Summary
In the field of machine learning, we often use “Gaussian process” to help computers make decisions under uncertainty. While we have many algorithms that work well in practice, our theoretical understanding of their fundamental limits is still incomplete. Specifically, there has been a persistent mathematical gap between the best-case performance we can prove and the worst-case errors we expect an algorithm to make. Understanding this gap is important for determining whether our current methods can truly be improved or if they are already reaching a natural limit. Our study focuses on narrowing this gap for one of the most common mathematical models, the “squared exponential kernel.” By carefully analyzing how this model behaves in a multi-dimensional, spherical space, we have derived a new mathematical "lower bound." This provides a more precise estimate of the minimum amount of error—or "regret"—that any such decision-making process must inevitably encounter. We also provided an updated analysis of how much information these models can capture, which helps align the theory more closely with what we observe in practice. This research does not claim to create a new, faster algorithm; rather, it helps clarify the mathematical landscape in which existing algorithms operate. By showing that the current methods are already quite close to the theoretical limit, our findings suggest that future progress may lie in areas other than just seeking faster learning speeds. We hope that providing these clearer boundaries will help the research community develop a more grounded and realistic understanding of what is possible in automated decision-making.