See More, Forecast Better and Faster: Enhancing Time Series Foundation Models via Inference-Time Plug-and-Play Downsampling
Abstract
Lay Summary
Many important systems, such as energy grids, weather stations, and online services, produce streams of measurements over time. Predicting far into the future from these streams is useful, but large forecasting models become slow and memory-hungry when they must read very long histories or make very long forecasts. This paper introduces SPRINT, a method that helps existing forecasting models handle longer sequences without retraining them. SPRINT separates a signal into repeated patterns, such as daily or weekly cycles, and a smoother long-term trend. It preserves the repeated patterns directly, asks the model to forecast a compressed version of the smoother trend, and then expands the result back to the original resolution. Across many datasets and models, this approach improves forecast accuracy while greatly reducing memory use and prediction time, making long-range forecasting more practical for real-world high-frequency data.