Accuracy and Normalized Accuracy under Length Bias: Analysis, Guidelines, and a Bayesian Alternative

Multiple-choice benchmarks that rank candidate completions by conditional log-probability suffer from a length bias: because log-probabilities sum over tokens, longer answers tend to be penalized relative to shorter ones in practice. A common mitigation is to normalize scores by completion length, but we show empirically that this heuristic frequently over-corrects, introducing a bias toward longer answers instead. We first analyze these scoring rules, characterizing when standard and length-normalized accuracy are appropriate and how their length biases depend on the distribution of completion lengths. Motivated by this analysis, we introduce Bayesian accuracy, a scoring rule that computes the posterior probability of each candidate under an explicit prior over answer length, thereby removing linear length effects. Bayesian accuracy is a drop-in replacement for likelihood-based multiple-choice evaluation, requires no additional forward passes, and consistently exhibits lower empirical length bias than both standard and length-normalized accuracy across benchmarks and few-shot settings.