Regret-Based Federated Causal Discovery with Unknown Interventions
Federico Baldo ⋅ Charles Assaad
Abstract
Most causal discovery methods recover a completed partially directed acyclic graph (CPDAG) representing a Markov equivalence class from observational data. Recent work has extended these methods to federated settings to address data decentralization and privacy constraints, but often under idealized assumptions that all clients share the same causal model. Such assumptions are unrealistic in practice, as client-specific policies, for instance, across hospitals, naturally induce heterogeneous and unknown interventions. In this work, we address federated causal discovery under unknown client-level interventions. We propose I-PERI, a novel federated algorithm that first recovers the CPDAG common to all clients and then orients additional edges by exploiting structural differences induced by interventions across clients. This yields a tighter equivalence class, which we call the $\mathbf{\phi}$-Markov Equivalence Class, represented by an augmented version of the CPDAG, namely, a $\mathbf{\phi}$-CPDAG. We provide theoretical guarantees on the convergence of I-PERI, as well as on its privacy-preserving properties, and present empirical evaluations demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.
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