ICML Discuss
Isoelastic Agents and Wealth Updates in Machine Learning Markets
by Amos Storkey, Jono Millin, Krzysztof Geras at ICML 2012
Recently, prediction markets have shown considerable promise for developing flexible mechanisms for machine learning. In this paper agents with isoelastic utilities are considered, and it is shown that the costs associated with homogeneous markets of agents with isoelastic utilities produce equilibrium prices corresponding to alpha-mixtures, with a particular form of mixing component relating to each agent's wealth. We also demonstrate that wealth accumulation for logarithmic and other isoelastic agents (through payoffs on prediction of training targets) can implement both Bayesian model updates and mixture weight updates by imposing different market payoff structures. An efficient variational algorithm is given for market equilibrium computation. We demonstrate that inhomogeneous markets of agents with isoelastic utilities outperform state of the art aggregate classifiers such as random forests, as well as single classifiers (neural networks, decision trees) on a number of machine learning benchmarks, and show that isoelastic combination methods are generally better than using logarithmic agents.

Related Material

Download PDF Watch Video

Discussion

Email notifications of comments are sent to authors.
Please use the feedback page to report broken links and other problems.
blog comments powered by Disqus